
Table of Contents
ToggleMacro Overview
- US Job Openings (Monthly): The monthly US job openings remained in line with expectations at 8.76 million, which is considered neutral for the crypto space.
- US Unemployment Claims (Weekly): Weekly US unemployment claims came in at 221k, slightly higher than the expected 213k. This is seen as slightly positive for crypto due to the historical inverse relation between unemployment claims and the crypto market.
- US Unemployment Rate (Monthly): The monthly US unemployment rate came in at 3.8%, lower than the expected 3.9%. This is slightly bearish for crypto as unemployment rate and crypto market tend to have an inverse relationship.
Crypto Markets Overview
- Market Movement: This week, the crypto market experienced a -4.30% fall, bringing the total market capitalization to $2.46 trillion. Notably, BTC saw a fall of -3.09% and ETH saw a fall of -5.90%. Bitcoin’s dominance stands at 54.48%, while Ethereum’s holds at 16.73%.
- Bitcoin ETFs See 4-Day Inflow Surge: Investor appetite for Bitcoin ETFs grows, with billions flowing into Spot Bitcoin ETFs over four days despite the price hovering below its all-time high. BlackRock’s IBIT ETF leads the surge, recording a net inflow of nearly $308 million in a single day, totaling historical net inflows of $14.77 billion.
- US States Approach Cardano Foundation for Blockchain Voting Platform : Several US states are in talks with the Cardano Foundation to explore the development of a blockchain-based voting system. The move aims to enhance election transparency, with states seeking more secure and transparent election processes.
Top Tokens Update
- Uniswap Surpasses $2 Trillion Trading Volume: Uniswap, a leading decentralized exchange (DEX), achieves a significant milestone by surpassing $2 trillion in trading volume. This accomplishment highlights Uniswap’s pivotal role in the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem, spanning transactions across various blockchains.
- Ripple and PayPal Announce Stablecoin Developments: Ripple announces plans to launch a stablecoin pegged 1:1 with the US dollar, backed by US dollar deposits and other cash equivalents. This move underscores the success of stablecoins in real-world asset tokenization, with the stablecoin market projected to exceed $2.8 trillion by 2028.
- Aave Proposes Countermeasure to MakerDAO DAI Expansion: Aave, the lending protocol, introduces a new proposal through its Aave Risk Framework Committee (ARFC) to adjust the risk parameters of the Dai stablecoin. The proposal, put forward by the Aave Chan Initiative (ACI) team, suggests setting Dai’s loan-to-value ratio (LTV) to 0% on all Aave deployments. Additionally, it recommends removing sDAI incentives from the Merit program to counteract MakerDAO’s aggressive D3M plan, which rapidly expanded the DAI credit line.
- Token Unlocks: Aptos, Starknet, and Arbitrum Prepare for Over $600 Million Release: In April, three prominent projects, Aptos, Starknet, and Arbitrum, are scheduled for substantial token unlocks totaling over $600 million. Aptos will release 24.84 million APT tokens on April 12, representing 6.2% of its circulating supply. Following Aptos, Starknet will unlock 64 million STRK tokens on April 15, equivalent to nearly 8.8% of its total circulating tokens. Finally, Arbitrum’s token unlock is set for April 16, with 92.69 million ARB tokens to be released, accounting for 3.5% of the circulating supply. These releases aim to benefit various stakeholders, including foundations, contributors, investors, and advisors.
“Big Picture: Upcoming Weeks’ Key Economic Events”
| DATE | TIME | EVENT | USUAL EFFECT |
| Apr 10 | 6:00 PM | US CPI y/y | Actual’ less than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto |
| Apr 11 | 6:00 PM | US PPI m/m | Actual’ less than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto |
| Apr 11 | 6:00 PM | US Unemployment Claims | Actual’ greater than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto |
Note: “Events in red font signify severe impact, while those in yellow indicate moderate.”
Bitcoin Technical Analysis
Summary:
- The current sentiment around BTC is bullish.
- This week, BTC remained range-bound but has shown signs of recovery. It’s consistently finding support at the 200 EMA 4-hour level and creating higher lows, which is bullish. BTC needs to surpass its previous all-time high level for further price discovery. Currently, it’s trading between two high leverage liquidation levels at $72,850 and $71,400, which need to be cleared first. Overall, the outlook is positive.
- Key support levels to consider are around $69,000 , $66,300 (200 EMA 4H) & $61,400 . On the upside, resistance levels is at $72900 & $73700.
- It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.
- For profit-taking, strategically selling near the outlined resistance levels/support levels is a recommended approach. Always exercise caution and implement sound risk management practices in trading endeavors.
Ethereum Technical Analysis
Summary:
- The current sentiment around ETH appears bullish.
- This week, ETH also traded within a range but has begun to outperform BTC as ETH/BTC shows signs of a slight recovery. However, ETH needs to maintain this outperformance for alts to rally effectively. Currently, ETH is lagging behind and needs to clear the levels indicated in the chart for a stronger move. Overall, the outlook is positive, especially with favorable conditions in the general market and the upcoming ETH ETF decision in may.
- Significant support levels include $3490, and $3190, while resistance levels to watch are at $3650, $3870 and $4070.
- These levels play a crucial role in determining potential price movements. It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.
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