
Table of Contents
ToggleMacro Overview
- US Fed Funds Rate Unchanged, Powell Hints at Further Cuts: The US Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates between 5.25% to 5.50%, sparking a positive market reaction. Additionally, Powell’s announcement of potential future rate cuts further bolstered optimism in both the US and crypto markets.
- US Weekly Unemployment Claims Slightly Lower Than Expected: Weekly US unemployment claims came in at 210k, slightly below the anticipated 212k, indicating stability in the job market. This news had a neutral impact on the crypto market.
Crypto Markets Overview
- Market Movement: This week, the crypto market experienced a 8% fall, bringing the total market capitalization to $2.37 trillion. Notably, BTC saw a fall of -9.20% and ETH saw a fall of -10.76%. Bitcoin’s dominance stands at 53.18%, while Ethereum’s holds at 17.23%.
- BlackRock and Coinbase Launch BUIDL Fund: BlackRock and Coinbase collaborate to launch the BUIDL fund, focusing on blending blockchain and traditional finance to offer US dollar yields. This innovative approach, highlighted by a $100 million investment in USDC stable coin, signals confidence in integrating blockchain into mainstream finance. As a result, the RWA sector in crypto sees a rally, with coins like ONDO and POLYX surging by over 20%.
- Ethereum Foundation Under Investigation, ETH Price Dips: The Ethereum Foundation faces investigation by an undisclosed “state authority,” leading to a sudden 5% drop in ETH price. However, details regarding the probe’s scope and reasons remain undisclosed, causing temporary FUD. Despite the initial dip, ETH price recovers as the community perceives it as a mere market disturbance.
- MicroStrategy Increases Bitcoin Holdings with $623 Million Purchase: MicroStrategy continues to bolster its Bitcoin holdings with an additional purchase of 9,245 BTC for $623 million, bringing their total Bitcoin assets to 214,246. Despite market fluctuations, CEO Michael Saylor remains undeterred, funding the purchase through convertible notes and cash.
- World’s Largest Pension Fund Eyes Bitcoin Investment: The Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) of Japan considers diversifying its portfolio by investing in illiquid assets, including bitcoin. In a released RFI, GPIF explores investments in forests, farmland, gold, and bitcoin, signaling growing institutional interest in crypto assets as part of long-term investment strategies.
Top Tokens Update
- Fidelity Adds Staking to Ethereum Spot ETF Application: Fidelity updates its Ethereum Spot ETF application to include staking, allowing investors to participate in the Proof of Stake mechanism. This move reflects growing interest in Ethereum’s staking feature, rewarding holders with ETH for securing the network.
- TON Blockchain Launches $115M Community Incentive Program: The Open Network Foundation launches a $115 million community incentive program for its TON blockchain. The initiative allocates tokens for mining rewards, airdrops, developer ecosystem support, and liquidity pool boosts. With distributions starting in April, the program aims to foster community engagement and growth within the TON ecosystem.
“Big Picture: Upcoming Weeks’ Key Economic Events”
| DATE | TIME | EVENT | USUAL EFFECT |
| Mar 28 | 6:00 PM | US Final GDP q/q | Actual’ less than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto |
| Mar 29 | 9:00 PM | US Fed Chair Powell Speaks | More dovish than expected is good for crypto |
Note: “Events in red font signify severe impact, while those in yellow indicate moderate.”
Bitcoin Technical Analysis
Summary:
- The current sentiment around BTC is neutral.
- This week, BTC’s price fell due to significant ETF outflows from GBTC, signaling bearish sentiment. Currently, BTC remains above the 50 EMA Daily but below the 20 EMA Daily, suggesting potential sideways movement ahead. Despite this, the macro trend remains bullish, with a key level to watch at $59000. Additionally, the decline in BTC dominance bodes well for altcoins once BTC stabilizes.
- Key support levels to consider are around $62,000 & $59,400 (50 EMA D). On the upside, resistance levels is at $69,700 and $72700.
- It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.
- For profit-taking, strategically selling near the outlined resistance levels/support levels is a recommended approach. Always exercise caution and implement sound risk management practices in trading endeavors.
Ethereum Technical Analysis
Summary:
- The current sentiment around ETH appears neutral.
- This week, ETH faced price drops due to FUD news surrounding the ETH foundation. Although it recovered, its price action and EMAs remain choppy, indicating short-term bearishness. To establish a strong uptrend, ETH must reclaim key EMAs. ETH/BTC bounced from a key support level, which is positive for both ETH and altcoins. A continued rise in ETH/BTC is needed for sustained momentum
- Significant support levels include $3150 ,$3030, and $2900, while resistance levels to watch are at $3525, $3650 and $3780.
- These levels play a crucial role in determining potential price movements. It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.
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