
Table of Contents
ToggleMacro Overview
- US CPI (YoY) :The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-over-year increased to 3.2%, surpassing the expected 3.1%. This inflationary concern triggers a bearish sentiment in the crypto market, leading to a dip in Bitcoin’s price in response to the rising inflation worries.
- US PPI (MoM) :The US Producer Price Index (PPI) month-over-month surged by 0.6%, surpassing the anticipated 0.3%. This unexpected increase contributes to the bearish sentiment in the crypto market, prompting a decline in crypto prices following the release of the data.
Crypto Markets Overview
- Market Movement: This week, the crypto market experienced a 2.94% uptick, bringing the total market capitalization to $2.49 trillion. Notably, BTC saw a rise of 3.27% and ETH saw a fall of -2.40%. Bitcoin’s dominance stands at 53.45%, while Ethereum’s holds at 17.80%.
- Ethereum L2s Transaction Fees Plummet Post-Dencun Upgrade: Following the Dencun upgrade on Ethereum’s mainnet, layer-2 (L2) protocols have witnessed a substantial decline in transaction fees. Some protocols have reported fee reductions of up to 99%, marking a significant improvement in scalability post-upgrade. Dencun is hailed as one of Ethereum’s most impactful upgrades, focusing on scalability enhancements.
- Bitcoin Surpasses Silver in Market Cap, Ranks Eighth Globally: Bitcoin’s remarkable rally persists, driven by substantial investments in new spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds and anticipation of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. As a result, Bitcoin’s market capitalization has soared to $1.414 trillion, surpassing that of silver. This achievement elevates Bitcoin to the eighth position among the world’s most valuable assets.
Top Tokens Update
- Cardano Introduces USDM Stablecoin in the US on March 16: Cardano (ADA) is launching its inaugural fiat-backed stablecoin, USDM, in the United States on March 16th. This milestone marks a significant step for the Cardano ecosystem, providing users with a dependable stablecoin pegged to the US dollar, thereby enhancing accessibility to the platform’s features.
- Tether Expands Reach with USDT Launch on Celo: Tether, the issuer of the largest stablecoin USDT, has extended its currency to the Celo blockchain, aiming to enhance usability and accessibility for millions of users. Despite CELO initially surging over 50% in response to the news, it has since retraced.
- Wintermute Accumulates $36M in ARB Ahead of Token Unlock: Wintermute, a liquidity provider, has acquired $36.3 million worth of ARB tokens within eight hours, coinciding with a significant $2.23 billion ARB token unlock on March 16th. This move aligns with Ethereum’s Dencun upgrade, resulting in reduced fees on Arbitrum’s chain.
- MakerDAO Unveils Two Innovative Tokens in ‘Endgame’ Launch: MakerDAO is entering its transformative “Endgame” phase, aiming for scalable resilience and sustainable growth. This phase introduces two groundbreaking tokens, signaling a strategic evolution for the decentralized finance protocol.
- Aptos Labs and Google Cloud Collaborate for Enhanced Web3 Gaming: Aptos Labs and Google Cloud have partnered to elevate Web3 gaming experiences by introducing Aptos GameStack. This unified platform enhances live service game offerings with Web3 capabilities, aiming to redefine gaming experiences for global audiences.
“Big Picture: Upcoming Weeks’ Key Economic Events”
| DATE | TIME | EVENT | USUAL EFFECT |
| Mar 20 | 11:30 PM | US Federal Funds Rate | Actual’ less than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto |
| Mar 20 | 11:30 PM | US FOMC Economic Projections | More dovish than expected is good for crypto |
| Mar 21 | 12:00 AM | US FOMC Press Conference | More dovish than expected is good for crypto |
| Mar 21 | 6:00 PM | US Unemployment Claims | Actual’ greater than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto |
Note: “Events in red font signify severe impact, while those in yellow indicate moderate.”
Bitcoin Technical Analysis
Summary:
- The current sentiment around BTC is neutral.
- This week, BTC initially rose due to increasing ETF inflows. However, later in the week, bearish macroeconomic data such as CPI and PPI, combined with profit selling, led to a decline. BTC is currently trading mixed, hovering around $68,000. A bullish daily close would confirm the continuation of the uptrend, with ETF inflows remaining a significant factor to watch.
- Key support levels to consider are around $65,550 & $60,700 (200 EMA 4H). On the upside, resistance levels is at $69,700 and $72700.
- It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.
- For profit-taking, strategically selling near the outlined resistance levels/support levels is a recommended approach. Always exercise caution and implement sound risk management practices in trading endeavors.
Ethereum Technical Analysis
Summary:
- The current sentiment around ETH appears neutral.
- This week, ETH experienced a post-event dump following the launch of the Dencun upgrade, resulting in underperformance compared to BTC. However, ETH found support from the 20EMA D, which is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. In the coming days, there’s an expectation that ETH will begin to outperform BTC.
- Significant support levels include $3630(20 EMA D) , $3520 (S/R Flip) , and $3385(200 EMA 4H ), while resistance levels to watch are at $3966, $4070 and $4130.
- These levels play a crucial role in determining potential price movements. It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.
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