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            Blog / Reports / State of the Crypto Market

            State of the Crypto Market

            “VIP Exclusive: Dive into News, Macro Insights, and Crypto Analysis!”

            15 Apr 2024 | 6 min read

            Table of Contents

            Toggle
            • Macro Overview
            • Crypto Markets Overview
            • Top Tokens Update
            • “Big Picture: Upcoming Weeks’ Key Economic Events”
            • Bitcoin Technical Analysis
            • Ethereum Technical Analysis

            Macro Overview

            • US CPI (YoY) Beats Expectations, Crypto Market Reacts with Minor Dip: The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the Year-over-Year (YoY) period came in at 3.5%, slightly higher than the expected 3.4%. This news initially caused a minor downturn in the crypto market, but it quickly recovered later.
            • US PPI (MoM) Below Expectations, Crypto Market Witnesses Quick Bounce: The US Producer Price Index (PPI) for the Month-over-Month (MoM) period was 0.2% lower than the expected 0.3%. This unexpected result had a positive impact on the crypto space, prompting a quick bounce in the market.

            Crypto Markets Overview

            • Market Movement: This week, the crypto market experienced a -8.46% fall, bringing the total market capitalization to $2.36 trillion. Notably, BTC saw a fall of -8.44% and ETH saw a fall of -10.80%. Bitcoin’s dominance stands at 55.34%, while Ethereum’s holds at 16.55%.
            • Bitcoin Slumps 8% Amid Iran-Israel Tensions, Caution Spreads Across Global Markets: Following heightened tensions between Iran and Israel, Bitcoin experienced an 8% slump, echoing caution across global markets. Stocks faced pressure while traditional safe-havens like bonds and the dollar gained traction. Coinglass data revealed approximately $1.5 billion in bullish crypto derivative positions liquidated over Friday and Saturday, marking one of the most significant two-day liquidation events in six months.
            • Hong Kong Grants Approval for Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs: Hong Kong has granted approval for spot Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) applications, becoming the second region to do so in 2024. This decision follows the SEC’s historic approval of 11 spot BTC ETFs in the US. While the US has yet to greenlight an Ethereum ETF, analysts speculate that approval could come later in the year.

            Top Tokens Update

            • Dogecoin Gears Up for Golden Cross Amid DOGE Day Anticipation: As the excitement for DOGE Day on April 20th builds up, Dogecoin eyes a potential golden cross, signaling a bullish trend. DOGE Day, an annual celebration of the Shiba Inu dog associated with the meme coin, is expected to fuel optimism and potentially trigger another rally in meme coins.
            • Ton Foundation Teams Up with Hashkey to Enhance Crypto Accessibility for Telegram Wallet Users: Ton Foundation and Hashkey have joined forces to improve crypto on-ramping and off-ramping for users of the Telegram wallet. This partnership aims to support Ton-based projects following a recent airdrop by Ton Foundation. Despite initial setbacks, Toncoin has climbed into the top 10 cryptocurrencies.
            • Token Unlock Events Worth Over $350 Million Ahead of Bitcoin Halving Week: Several significant token unlock events are scheduled for the week ahead of Bitcoin’s halving week. Starknet will unlock 64 million STRK tokens, valued at $117.12 million, on April 15. Arbitrum will follow with the largest unlock event on April 16, releasing 92.65 million ARB tokens worth $131.56 million. Additionally, Axie Infinity ecosystem will unleash 10.87 million AXS tokens valued at $103.91 million on April 17.
            • Ondo Finance Sees 8% Surge as Instant Conversion Feature Tests Successful: Ondo Finance’s governance token (ONDO) experienced an 8% spike following successful testing of its near-instant conversion feature between Circle’s USDC stablecoin and BlackRock’s BUIDL token. A wallet on Ethereum redeemed $250,000 worth of BUIDL tokens for USDC, as indicated by Etherscan data.

            “Big Picture: Upcoming Weeks’ Key Economic Events”

            DATE TIME EVENT USUAL EFFECT
            Apr 16 10:45 PM US Fed Chair Powell Speaks More dovish than expected is good for crypto
            Apr 18 6:00 PM US Unemployment Claims Actual’ greater than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto
            Apr 20 Tentative Bitcoin Halving Bullish for Long term

            Note: “Events in red font signify severe impact, while those in yellow indicate moderate.”

            Bitcoin Technical Analysis

            Summary:

            • The current sentiment around BTC is neutral.
            • This week, the crypto market experienced a significant downturn due to the Iran-Israel conflict. Alts saw steep declines of up to 40-50% within hours, with some recovering while others didn’t. BTC also dropped to the $60k level but has since rebounded to above $66k, holding above the 50 EMA D. The return of spot premium is a bullish sign, along with a reset in open interest and the clearing of leverage traders, confirming the overall bullish trend. The focus now shifts to ETF data and how the crypto market responds to the US market.
            • Key support levels to consider are around $65,000 (50 EMA D) , $60,700 , and $59,000. On the upside, resistance levels is at $71,400,$72900 & $73700.
            • It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.
            • For profit-taking, strategically selling near the outlined resistance levels/support levels is a recommended approach. Always exercise caution and implement sound risk management practices in trading endeavors.

            Ethereum Technical Analysis

            Summary:

            • The current sentiment around ETH appears bullish.
            • This week, ETH followed BTC’s downward trend but has since recovered slightly and moved within its range. It appears to be forming a PO3 Setup. Factors such as funding rate, money inflow, ETH/BTC pair, price action, and overall sentiment indicate bullishness for ETH, suggesting it may outperform BTC going forward.
            • Significant support levels include $3175, and $2875, while resistance levels to watch are at $3400, $3500 and $3650.
            • These levels play a crucial role in determining potential price movements. It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.

            Disclaimer: “The information, advise and/or views provided on this page are that of the author or company and are for informational purposes only. The Platform does not intend to: (i) an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to invest in, or to buy or sell, any interests or shares, or to participate in any investment or trading strategy, or (ii) to provide accounting, legal, or tax advice, or investment recommendations, or (iii) make any representation of any kind, express or implied, on accuracy, availability, reliability or completeness of the same. Note Crypto products and NFTs are unregulated and can be highly risky. There may be no regulatory recourse for any loss from such transactions. AT NO TIME WILL THE PLATFORM BE LIABLE FOR YOUR USE OR RELIANCE OF THE SAID INFORMATION, ADVISE AND/OR VIEW WHICH IS SOLELY AT YOUR OWN RISK.”

             

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