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            Blog / Reports / State of the Crypto Market

            State of the Crypto Market

            “VIP Exclusive: Dive into News, Macro Insights, and Crypto Analysis!”

            2 Mar 2024 | 6 min read

            Table of Contents

            Toggle
            • Macro Overview
            • Crypto Markets Overview
            • Top Tokens Update
            • “Big Picture: Upcoming Weeks’ Key Economic Events”
            • Bitcoin Technical Analysis
            • Ethereum Technical Analysis

            Macro Overview

            • US Preliminary GDP Q/Q: The US preliminary GDP for the last quarter came in at 3.2%, slightly below the expected 3.3%. This underperformance could have a slightly positive impact on the crypto market due to the historical inverse relationship between the two.
            • US Unemployment Claims (Weekly): US Unemployment claims came out at 215k, higher than the expected 209k. This news is slightly positive for the crypto market due to the inverse relationship between unemployment claims and crypto.

            Crypto Markets Overview

            • Market Movement: This week, the crypto market experienced a 18.20% uptick, bringing the total market capitalization to $2.26trillion. Notably, BTC saw a rise of 21.55% and ETH saw a rise of 15.30%. Bitcoin’s dominance stands at 53.79%, while Ethereum’s holds at 18.25%.
            • Hungary Considers Allowing Banks to Offer Crypto Services: Hungary is contemplating legislation that would permit banks, investment funds, and asset managers to provide Bitcoin and other crypto services. This move aims to bring Hungary’s regulatory framework in line with relevant European Union laws, signaling a positive development for the crypto space.
            • Merrill Lynch and Wells Fargo to Offer Bitcoin Spot ETFs: Bank of America’s Merrill Lynch and Wells Fargo are set to offer spot ETFs directly investing in Bitcoin to some of their affluent clients. This decision reflects increasing demand for Bitcoin ETFs among mainstream financial institutions, coinciding with Bitcoin’s surge past $60,000 for the first time in a while.
            • Rumor-Jeff Bezos Sells Amazon Stock to Buy Bitcoin: Speculation suggests that Jeff Bezos may have sold $8.5 billion worth of Amazon stock to invest in Bitcoin. However, this remains unconfirmed, and Bezos has yet to make any official statement on the matter. The rumor underscores the heightened interest in Bitcoin among billionaires and institutional investors.
            • Bitcoin Hits All-Time Highs Across the Globe: Bitcoin’s price has soared to all-time highs in most countries worldwide. The recent surge to $64,000 triggered ATHs in various fiat currencies, including the Swedish krona, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, British pound, Russian ruble, Norwegian krone, and Chinese yuan. This widespread adoption underscores growing global interest in cryptocurrencies.

            Top Tokens Update

            • Ark Invest and 21Shares Boost Bitcoin ETF Transparency with Chainlink: Ark Invest and 21Shares have integrated Chainlink to enhance transparency in their Bitcoin ETFs. Investors in ARKB can now verify that the ETF’s Bitcoin holdings completely support its value, thanks to Chainlink Proof of Reserve (PoR). This move towards transparency is powered by off-chain reserves data sourced directly from Coinbase and reported on-chain via Chainlink oracles.
            • UNI Price Surges 15% After Uniswap Foundation Proposal: The Uniswap Foundation has proposed upgrading protocol governance for fee redistribution, aiming for greater community involvement. With overwhelming support shown through snapshot voting, the UNI price surged by 15% following the proposal announcement. The community is encouraged to participate in the governance process to shape the future of the Uniswap ecosystem.
            • Floki Developers Plan $11M Token Burn to Reduce Supply: Floki developers are proposing to burn $11 million worth of tokens, reducing the supply by 190 billion FLOKI. This move aims to increase scarcity and network security for the dog-themed crypto platform. The tokens for burning will be sourced from the Multichain Bridge, previously holding tokens prior to its implosion in July 2023.

            “Big Picture: Upcoming Weeks’ Key Economic Events”

            DATE TIME EVENT USUAL EFFECT
            Mar 6 8:30 PM US Fed Chair Powell Testifies More dovish than expected is good for crypto
            Mar 6 8:30 PM US Job Openings Actual’ less than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto
            Mar 7 7:00 PM US Unemployment Claims Actual’ greater than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto
            Mar 7 8:30 PM US Fed Chair Powell Testifies More dovish than expected is good for crypto
            Mar 8 7:00 PM US Non-Farm Employment Change Actual’ less than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto
            Mar 8 7:00 PM US Unemployment Rate Actual’ greater than ‘Forecast’ is good for crypto

            Note: “Events in red font signify severe impact, while those in yellow indicate moderate.”

            Bitcoin Technical Analysis

            Summary:

            •  The current sentiment around BTC is neutral.
            • This week has been exceptional for BTC, marking a new yearly high and breaking out of its range with a parabolic move. Currently, it’s stable between two significant levels: $64,000 and $58,680, serving as range highs and lows, respectively. As long as BTC consolidates within this range, the bullish trend remains intact. In the 2-hour timeframe, the 20-day EMA acts as a key support level. To set a new all-time high, BTC needs to surpass the important resistance at $65,500.
            • Key support levels to consider are around $58,700, $57,650 (50EMA 4H) and $53,000. On the upside, resistance levels include $64,000, $65,500 and $69,000.
            • It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.
            • For profit-taking, strategically selling near the outlined resistance levels/support levels is a recommended approach. Always exercise caution and implement sound risk management practices in trading endeavors.

            Ethereum Technical Analysis

            Summary:

            • The current sentiment around ETH appears neutral .
            • This week, ETH mirrored BTC’s trajectory but lagged slightly behind. It broke out of its range, reaching a new yearly high and is now stable. It’s currently positioned between two important levels: $3,175 and $3,500, serving as range lows and highs, respectively. Additionally, there’s strong support at the 20-day EMA in the 4-hour timeframe, providing bullish confirmation as long as the price remains above it.
            • Significant support levels include $3375(20 EMA 4H) , $, $3175, and $3030, while resistance levels to watch are at $3500, $3830 and $3965.
            • These levels play a crucial role in determining potential price movements. It is advisable to evaluate potential entry points around the mentioned support levels for long entries and at resistance levels for short entries. Additionally, setting limits to manage potential losses is prudent.

            Disclaimer: “The information, advise and/or views provided on this page are that of the author or company and are for informational purposes only. The Platform does not intend to: (i) an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to invest in, or to buy or sell, any interests or shares, or to participate in any investment or trading strategy, or (ii) to provide accounting, legal, or tax advice, or investment recommendations, or (iii) make any representation of any kind, express or implied, on accuracy, availability, reliability or completeness of the same. Note Crypto products and NFTs are unregulated and can be highly risky. There may be no regulatory recourse for any loss from such transactions. AT NO TIME WILL THE PLATFORM BE LIABLE FOR YOUR USE OR RELIANCE OF THE SAID INFORMATION, ADVISE AND/OR VIEW WHICH IS SOLELY AT YOUR OWN RISK.”

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